Sunday September 21, 2008 8:22 am
Free NFL Week 3 Picks by Dean Browski
It is Week 3 and it is time for me to turn this NFL ship around. Today I am playing a 3-Team 8-point Tease and 3 indiviudal games. Good luck today!
3-Team / 8-Point Teaser (3-Stars)
Houston Texans +13.5 The Texans had an extra week to prepare for this game which is something I view as adding value. The average margin of victory over the past 8 games is 7.38 points, and the Texans have two 10-point victories out of those 8 games.
New Orleans Saints +14.5 This is a game that I believe the Saints can win outright, I might even think that the Saints should win this game. But things happen in the Mile High City and the way the Redskins moved the ball last week against the Saints causes come concern. At 14.5 points, I feel very confident in the Saints keeping it within two scores.
Green Bay Packers +12 The Cowboys showed there many defensive weaknesses last week against the Eagles and now must go to Green Bay which has shown that they are not missing a beat offensively with Aaron Rodgers at the helm. The Lions late surge against the Packers last week causes some concern as to whether or not the Cowboys offense will hang another 40 points on the board. Green Bay getting 12 points at home . . . I like that.
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Buffalo Bills -9.5 (4-stars) The Raiders ran for 300 yards against the Chiefs last week; the Bills held the Jaguars to 98 yards rushing last week. Not sure I am able to put Trent Edwards on par with Jay Cutler, but the Bills offensive weapons are equal if not better than the Broncos, and the Raiders had no answer to Denver in Week 1. Playing on the road for the second consecutive week, in a tough environment, with the key players being either rookies or just very green, does not bode well for Oakland.
Cleveland Browns +110 To Win (4-stars) No one can say that they know much about this Ravens team. They entered the season with a rookie QB and won their first game against a not-so-good Bengals team. The Ravens have not played since. Just as the question of the early bye week lingers around the Texans, I believe it lingers even more with the Ravens since they have a rookie QB and a rookie Head Coach. The Browns meanwhile played the Cowboys and the Steelers to start the year and while the dropped both contests, they had their chances. I am of the belief that the Browns are a bit over-hyped this year, but I also believe that they are better than the Ravens. For the Browns to be getting points I think is wrong, but I am not complaining, I am thankful for the change to increase the value of my wager by taking them to win this game outright.
Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 (3-stars) The Jaguars can’t ask for a better time to play the Colts. With the Jaguars being very injured and off to an 0-2 start, they run the risk of falling way behind in what most believed was going to be a tight AFC South. With a win today the Jaguars will pull even with the Colts at 1-2, and while that may leave them each 2 games behind the Titans, should the Titans win today, neither the Colts nor the Jags are going to lose sleep over trying to catch Tennessee. That said, the Colts are without Bob Sanders today and while their offense is reassembled now that Jeff Saturday is back at Center, it will be difficult for the Colts to maintain a steady rhythm. This is must always a hard-fought game and today should be no different. I am keeping it at 3-stars due to the Jags injuries.
- Related Tags:
- football, gambling, nfl, sports betting
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