Dean Browski’s NFL Week 3 Picks
Posted by Dean Browski Categories: NFL,
Season: 15-15-1
Last Week: 6-8-1
A rough week last week, but valuable lessons were learned. I hope you were paying attention and came out a little wiser. There are some very intriguing games this weekend, and a few teams in must-win situations. My favorite picks for this weekend are the Browns, Jaguars, Panthers, and Bills.
Click to continue reading Dean Browski’s NFL Week 3 Picks
Gallery: Dean Browski’s NFL Week 3 Picks
Advertisement
Dean Browski Picks for Monday Night Football
Posted by Dean Browski Categories: NFL,
I personally believe that NFC East battles are the best in the NFL and anyone out there will be hard pressed to convince me otherwise. The Cowboy cheerleaders are still hot and these two teams tonight still hate each other. I made the preseason prediction that the Eagles were going to win the NFC East and they did nothing last week to make me want to turn back from that prediction.
Click to continue reading Dean Browski Picks for Monday Night Football
Gallery: Dean Browski Picks for Monday Night Football
Free NFL Picks by Dean Browski
Posted by Dean Browski Categories: NFL,
Time to get your action in for Week 2 if you haven’t already. I hope that you have been paying attention all week, and not just this morning as you nurse a hangover. Today I am not playing nothing but Straight bets. Every game I picked on Friday will be played as a 1-star, while the following games are being played at a higher star-level.
Click to continue reading Free NFL Picks by Dean Browski
Gallery: Free NFL Picks by Dean Browski
Dean Browski’s NFL Week 2 Picks
Posted by Dean Browski Categories: NFL,
You know more this week than you did last week. It may not seem that way, but you do. The key is to keep learning and to use the new information to refine the existing information. Ah, but what do you know and what do you think you know?! Don’t think so much, it will all come together. Just keep paying attention!
Click to continue reading Dean Browski’s NFL Week 2 Picks
Gallery: Dean Browski’s NFL Week 2 Picks
Preparing for NFL Week 2 - Dean Browski
Posted by Dean Browski Categories: NFL,
I picked 9 of 16 winners in NFL Week 1. Not a great weekend, but also not a bad start. My Early Week Games proved reliable with the exception of the Jaguars and the Texans. The Carolina Panthers were my highlight of the weekend, and again this week they make the Early Week Board.
I expected the Panthers to be a 7-point favorite at home against the Chicago Bears. The Opening Line is Panthers -3. I put a lot more value in the Panthers win over the Chargers than I do the Bears win over the Colts . . . I say that with all due respect to the Bears. To further raise my curiosity, the fine users of ESPN.com have the Bears as 1-point favorites?!?! Huh? I will be taking the Panthers -3, a great value. The Washington Redskins went from -1 to +1 at home against the New Orleans Saints. This game intrigues me, and I think I like the Redskins at first blush. This line is worth keeping an eye on. The Houston Texans are 4.5-point favorites at home against the Baltimore Ravens, and there is a chance the line may come down. I like the Texans at -4.5, if any more points come off that line there is value with the Texans.
Those are just some thoughts from early in the week. All of Dean Browski’s NFL Week 2 Picks will be posted on Friday.
Gallery: Preparing for NFL Week 2 - Dean Browski
Dean Browski Picks for Monday Night Football
Posted by Dean Browski Categories: NFL,
It has been a great first weekend of NFL action and it continues tonight when the Minnesota Vikings visit Green Bay to play the Packers without Brett Favre. Let me get right into it, the Green Bay Packers are going to be fine. This was a good team last year WITH Brett Favre, but not BECAUSE of Brett Favre. They are still a good team, and whatever trait of Favre’s that Aaron Rodgers doesn’t have, Rodgers more than makes up for with all of his other skills.
I know, I know, you aren’t sure what Aaron Rodger’s skills are. We only saw him play once last year, and he came in and nearly won the game for the Packers in Dallas going 18/26, 201 yards and 1 touchdown; he then had 17 yards passing the rest of the year. What we do know about Aaron Rodgers is that he was excellent in college at Cal and his skills have not diminished. He is healthy, and he has had 3 full seasons to learn about his team and to train under Brett Favre. Don’t worry about the Packers this year, they will be fine. Green Bay won both games last year, winning 23-16 in Minneapolis, and 34-0 at home. These teams haven’t changed that much, and remember it was the Vikings that were dying for a Quarterback in the off-season. Did they ever get one? I am taking the Packers -2 for 3-stars and the Over 37 for 1-star.
All week long I just believed I would take the Broncos tonight. Betting against the Raiders has been such a staple in the lives of so many people that it really does feel unnatural to instinctively take the Raiders. But then I sat down and did a little homework. Last year these two teams split their regular season games, each winning at home. Denver need an Overtime Field Goal to win 23-20; while the Raiders almost gave away a big lead before finally winning 34-20. In both games, the running of the Raiders was the most consistent. Add to that Darren McFadden, JeMarcus Russel, and Dominic Rhodes and there is no reason to think the Raiders running game won’t still control the game. Yes Denver did make some upgrades to their defense but I am more comfortable with the more proven, in this case its the Raiders and their ground game. I am taking the Raiders +3 for 2-stars and the Under 40.5 for 1-star.
Who the hell is Dean Browski?!
Gallery: Dean Browski Picks for Monday Night Football
Dean Browski’s NFL Week 1 Picks
Posted by Dean Browski Categories: NFL,
Alright, here we go! Week 1 in the NFL kicks off tonight as does our data gathering for the rest of the season. I am excited as I know you are, but let’s take a deep breath, curb our enthusiasm and get down to business. I apply a guideline of not going over 3-stars in Week 1. (Click Here to Learn About Stars.) It is a guideline, driven by the belief that this is the least informed we will be all season long, so any extreme confidence you have in a game is based on speculation not facts. There are many unknowns at this point, so let’s allow things to play out so we can make better decisions as the season
progresses. Its not where you start, its where you finish.
Click to continue reading Dean Browski’s NFL Week 1 Picks
Gallery: Dean Browski’s NFL Week 1 Picks
Early Week Thoughts on NFL Week 1 Point Spreads
Posted by Dean Browski Categories: NFL,
When to buy? A question that can perplex the best investors in the world, but one that you must ask yourself if you are to ever turn your gambling into something more than an emotional money grab. If you wait until Sunday morning like a lot of people do, then you are missing out on two very vital aspects of being a professional. First, you may have lost out on the opportunity to get a team you like at a more favorable point spread. Secondly, if you are looking at the lines for the first time on Sunday then you have no point of reference on how the line fluctuated during the week. This is information that tells a tale, a tale that you should be attentive to.
I will share a bit of my methodology, but I strongly suggest that you devise your own methodology to view, and track the various movements. There is no perfect system, but there are imperfect ones. The most imperfect is to not have one at all. In my system, I go through every game before knowing the actual line and I set my own. I then add the actual line next to each game, along with two other bits of information that sheds some light on what the rest of the betting public is thinking. ESPN has a line listed next to each game which is the average point spread as set by the users of the site. Covers.com also has something they call Consensus which is a percentage of people, using Wagerline.com, who have selected a team with the point spread at various times in the line’s history. Please, please, please remember that the Vegas line is a product of what the public thinks and believes.
Click to continue reading Early Week Thoughts on NFL Week 1 Point Spreads
Gallery: Early Week Thoughts on NFL Week 1 Point Spreads
Advertisement
© Gear Live Media, LLC. 2007 – User-posted content, unless source is quoted, is licensed under a Creative Commons Public Domain License. Gear Live graphics, logos, designs, page headers, button icons, videos, articles, blogs, forums, scripts and other service names are the trademarks of Gear Live Inc.